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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Real interest rate (%) climbed to 0.48 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Hungary Real interest rate (%) climbed to 0.48 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 3.61 Percentage (%) from December's -3.13 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
0.48
Latest (2023)
-3.13
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Interest Rate (%) (Hungary) was reported at 1.64 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.44 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.11 Percent, up from the prior three at -3.37 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Real Interest Rate (%) has averaged 1.11 Percent.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Real interest rate (%) - HU
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About Real interest rate (%) — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Real Interest Rate rose to 1.637503% in December 2025, up from 1.437744% in December 2024, marking continued tightening. This increase signals a strengthening real yield environment compared to the previous year. Market participants will watch for central bank moves amid this upward trend. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1 | -0.05 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | HU | HALPIM Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 51.3 | 51.55 | Low | |