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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Car Sales YoY climbed to 55.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Indonesia Car Sales YoY climbed to 55.0% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 68.8% from March's -13.8% reading. The print exceeded the -7.0% consensus by 62.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -2.8%. Over the past 3 months, Car Sales YoY averaged 4.4%, vs 8.03% in the prior 3-month window. Car Sales YoY is now the highest in 30 months.
Latest Release
55
Actual
-7
Consensus
-13.8
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.69 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/IDR | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Car Sales YoY (Indonesia) was reported at 32.4% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 33.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.64%, ranging from -15.1% to 33.3% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 25.9%, up from the prior three at 12.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 14.13%) is higher than the prior year (σ 8.13%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Car Sales YoY has averaged -0.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Car Sales YoY - ID
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About Car Sales YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Car Sales YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of cars sold by a company or industry over a 12-month period. This metric is used to assess the overall performance and growth of the automotive market, providing valuable insights into consumer demand and economic trends. A positive YoY growth indicates a healthy market, while a negative growth may signal a decline in sales. Car Sales YoY is a key tool for investors, analysts, and businesses to make informed decisions and track the health of the automotive industry.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 32.4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 32.4 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 33.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.69) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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