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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Motorbike Sales YoY climbed to 14.5% in December 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2026
Indonesia Motorbike Sales YoY climbed to 14.5% in December 2025, released January 2026, up 12.4% from November's 2.1% reading. The print exceeded the 3.6% consensus by 10.9%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.98%. Motorbike Sales YoY is now the highest in 16 months.
Latest Release
14.5
Actual
3.6
Consensus
2.1
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Motorbike Sales YoY (Indonesia) was reported at -5.1% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 28.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.7%, ranging from -5.1% to 28.1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 8%, up from the prior three at 6.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.09%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 8.73%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Motorbike Sales YoY has averaged -3.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Motorbike Sales YoY - ID
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About Motorbike Sales YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Motorbike Sales YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the number of motorbikes sold by a company or industry over a 12-month period. This metric is used to assess the growth or decline in motorbike sales and can provide valuable insights into the overall performance of the market. It is a key indicator for investors, analysts, and businesses in the automotive industry, as it reflects consumer demand and can help inform strategic decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -5.1 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 28.1 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -17.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.76) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ID Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | ID | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 46.9 | 47.4 | 46.70 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Balance of Trade | -1.61 | -0.79 | -1.23 | Medium | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.44 | 0.1 | -0.24 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.76 | 2.8 | 2.77 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Exports YoY | -5.73 | 0.25 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.34 | 3.2 | 2.91 | Medium | |
| 04:00 | ID | Imports YoY | 22.16 | 25.3 | 25.30 | Low | |