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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Real interest rate (%) climbed to 7.28 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Indonesia Real interest rate (%) climbed to 7.28 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 8.24 Percentage (%) from December's -0.96 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
7.28
Latest (2023)
-0.96
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Interest Rate (%) (Indonesia) was reported at 5.99 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 7.84 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.04 Percent, up from the prior three at 3.93 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Real Interest Rate (%) has averaged 7.04 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Oct 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Real interest rate (%) - ID
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About Real interest rate (%) — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Indonesia's Real Interest Rate for December 2025 registered at 5.990797%, down from December 2024's 7.836152%, marking a notable decline. This decrease signals a loosening real yield environment compared to the previous year. Market participants will watch for central bank responses amid this easing trend. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ID Events
| Thursday, October 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | ID | Consumer Confidence | 118.1 | 118.5 | 118 | 118.05 | Low |
| Friday, October 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | ID | Retail Sales YoY | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Low |