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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland AIB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 55.9 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Ireland AIB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 55.9 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1 from April's 54.9 reading. The reading matched the 53.6 consensus. AIB Manufacturing PMI has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, AIB Manufacturing PMI averaged 54.3, vs 52.5 in the prior 3-month window. AIB Manufacturing PMI is now the highest in 38 months.
Latest Release
55.9
Actual
53.6
Consensus
54.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.1
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 54.2
Actual: 55.9
Error: -1.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
AIB Manufacturing PMI (Ireland) was reported at 55.90 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 53.60 by 2.30. The reading rose from the previous value of 54.90. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 52.74, ranging from 50.90 to 55.90 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 54.23, up from the prior three at 52.40. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.32) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.57). In June readings over the past 3 years, AIB Manufacturing PMI has averaged 52.77.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.10.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 1, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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AIB Manufacturing PMI - IE
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About AIB Manufacturing PMI — Ireland
DEFINITION
The AIB Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in Ireland. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the economy by tracking changes in key factors such as production, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. This data is collected through surveys of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry and is used by businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions. With its timely and accurate reporting, the AIB Manufacturing PMI is a crucial tool for understanding the current and future state of the Irish manufacturing sector.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 55.9, consensus 53.6. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 54.9. Before that (Mar 2026): 53.7.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.