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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland AIB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 55.4 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Ireland AIB Manufacturing PMI climbed to 55.4 in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.3 from July's 55.1 reading. The reading matched the 54.5 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 3.8. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
55.4
Actual
54.5
Consensus
55.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.09
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 54.5
Actual: 55.4
Error: -0.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
AIB Manufacturing PMI (Ireland) was reported at 55.40 in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 54.50 by 0.90. The reading rose from the previous value of 55.10. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 53.31, ranging from 50.90 to 55.90 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 55.47, up from the prior three at 53.00. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.59) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.07). In September readings over the past 3 years, AIB Manufacturing PMI has averaged 52.47.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.09.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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AIB Manufacturing PMI - IE
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About AIB Manufacturing PMI — Ireland
DEFINITION
The AIB Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in Ireland. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the economy by tracking changes in key factors such as production, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. This data is collected through surveys of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry and is used by businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions. With its timely and accurate reporting, the AIB Manufacturing PMI is a crucial tool for understanding the current and future state of the Irish manufacturing sector.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 55.4, consensus 54.5. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 55.1. Before that (May 2026): 55.9.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices YoY | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.57 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Balance of Trade | 5.3 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 5.83 | Low |