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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland GNP YoY climbed to 7.5% in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Ireland GNP YoY climbed to 7.5% in October 2025, released March 2026, up 4.4% from September's 3.1% reading. The print exceeded the 2.4% consensus by 5.1%. GNP YoY has now risen for 6 consecutive months. GNP YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
7.5
Actual
2.4
Consensus
3.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.6 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 2.4
Actual: 7.5
Error: -5.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GNP YoY (Ireland) was reported at 18.3% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 9.5%, up from the prior three at -2.3%. In June readings over the past 3 years, GNP YoY has averaged 8.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.6%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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GNP YoY - IE
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About GNP YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
GNP YoY stands for Gross National Product Year-over-Year and is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's total economic output. It provides insight into the overall health and growth of a nation's economy by comparing the current year's GNP to the previous year's. This information is used by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions about economic trends and potential opportunities. A positive GNP YoY indicates economic expansion, while a negative GNP YoY suggests a decline in economic activity.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 18.3 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 7.5 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 2.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.