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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland GNP YoY fell to 5.2% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Ireland GNP YoY fell to 5.2% in April 2026, released September 2026, down 11.3% from March's 16.5% reading. The reading missed the 9.5% consensus by 4.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.27%. GNP YoY is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
5.2
Actual
9.5
Consensus
16.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.9 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 9.5
Actual: 5.2
Error: +4.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GNP YoY (Ireland) was reported at 5.2% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 9.5% by 4.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 16.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 10.33%, up from the prior three at 0.27%. In September readings over the past 3 years, GNP YoY has averaged 1.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.9%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GNP YoY - IE
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About GNP YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
GNP YoY stands for Gross National Product Year-over-Year and is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's total economic output. It provides insight into the overall health and growth of a nation's economy by comparing the current year's GNP to the previous year's. This information is used by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions about economic trends and potential opportunities. A positive GNP YoY indicates economic expansion, while a negative GNP YoY suggests a decline in economic activity.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.2 %, consensus 9.5 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 18.3 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 7.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices YoY | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.45 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.70 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Balance of Trade | 5.3 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 5.85 | Low |