Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Ireland Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.6% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.5% from July's 0.1% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.53%. Over the past 3 months, Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.26%, vs 0.7% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 76th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.6
Actual
0.6
Consensus
0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.15 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.59
Actual: 0.6
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Ireland) was reported at 0.6% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.6% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.27%, ranging from -1% to 1.8% across 23 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.43%, up from the prior three at 0.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.67%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.57%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 0.07%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.15%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM - IE
Loading chart data...
About Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM — Ireland
DEFINITION
The Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the overall price level of goods and services in a country over a one-month period. It takes into account the prices of a wide range of consumer goods and services, providing a comprehensive view of inflation trends. This indicator is used by policymakers, investors, and businesses to monitor and analyze the impact of inflation on the economy and make informed decisions. A higher Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM indicates an increase in prices, while a lower rate suggests a decrease in inflation.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.6 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices YoY | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.45 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.70 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Balance of Trade | 5.3 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 5.85 | Low |