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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland HICP MoM fell to 0.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Ireland HICP MoM fell to 0.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.2% from June's 0.3% reading. The print exceeded the 0.0% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.33%. Over the past 3 months, HICP MoM averaged -0.0%, vs 0.71% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 33rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.1
Actual
0
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.09 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -0.03
Actual: 0.1
Error: -0.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
HICP MoM (Ireland) was reported at 0.1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.17%, ranging from -1% to 1.8% across 18 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.13%, up from the prior three at 0.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.64%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.37%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.09%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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HICP MoM - IE
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About HICP MoM — Ireland
DEFINITION
Ireland's HICP MoM rose 0.10% in July, beating the 0.00% estimate and down from June's 0.30%. July's inflation increase signals a slowdown in price growth compared to the previous month. Market focus will remain on upcoming ECB policy decisions amid easing inflation pressures. Updated 8/13/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0.1 %, consensus 0 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 0 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.43) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices YoY | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.45 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Residential Property Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.70 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Balance of Trade | 5.3 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 5.85 | Low |