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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland HICP YoY fell to 3.2% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Ireland HICP YoY fell to 3.2% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.3% from May's 3.5% reading. The reading matched the 3.3% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.6%. Over the past 3 months, HICP YoY averaged 3.55%, vs 2.84% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 79th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.2
Actual
3.3
Consensus
3.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.02 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 3.3
Actual: 3.2
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
HICP YoY (Ireland) was reported at 3.1% in July 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.75%, ranging from 1.6% to 3.6% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.27%, down from the prior three at 3.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.58%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.23%). In July readings over the past 3 years, HICP YoY has averaged 2.48%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.02%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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HICP YoY - IE
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About HICP YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Ireland's HICP YoY for July came in at 3.100000%, down from June's 3.200000%, indicating a slight easing in inflation pressures. This marks a continued deceleration from the 3.6% readings observed in April and May. Market focus remains on upcoming ECB policy decisions amid this gradual inflation slowdown. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.1 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3.2 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.25 | Low |
| 10:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.20 | Low |