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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland HICP YoY fell to 3.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Ireland HICP YoY fell to 3.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.1% from June's 3.2% reading. The reading matched the 3.1% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.5%. Over the past 3 months, HICP YoY averaged 3.33%, vs 3.11% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 73rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.1
Actual
3.1
Consensus
3.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.04 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 3.08
Actual: 3.1
Error: -0.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
HICP YoY (Ireland) was reported at 3.1% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 3.1% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.01%, ranging from 2.4% to 3.6% across 16 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.13%, down from the prior three at 3.53%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.4%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.39%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.04%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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HICP YoY - IE
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About HICP YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Ireland's HICP YoY for July came in at 3.100000%, matching estimates but down from June's 3.200000%, indicating a slight easing in inflation pressures. The reading reflects a continued moderation after June's peak, maintaining a trend of gradual deceleration. Market participants will watch upcoming ECB signals closely amid this steady inflation backdrop. Updated 8/13/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.1 %, consensus 3.1 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.1 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.5 | 55 | 55.00 | Low | |
| 23:01 | IE | Consumer Confidence | 61.1 | 60 | 60.00 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:01 | IE | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.1 | 53.4 | 53.75 | Low | |
| 11:00 | IE | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5.1 | 5.10 | Low | |