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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Industrial Production YoY climbed to 12.7% in November 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2026
Ireland Industrial Production YoY climbed to 12.7% in November 2025, released January 2026, up 5.3% from October's 7.4% reading. The print exceeded the 8.8% consensus by 3.9%. Industrial Production YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 10.4%, vs 16.03% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 60th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
12.7
Actual
8.8
Consensus
7.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±8.24 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jan 2026
Predicted: 10.6
Actual: 12.7
Error: -2.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.97 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.89 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Ireland) was reported at 12.7% in January 2026. This beat the market consensus of 8.8% by 3.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through January 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 16.91%, ranging from 10.3% to 36.8% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 11.17%, down from the prior three at 16.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.44%) is lower than the prior year (σ 16.66%). In January readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production YoY has averaged -7.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 8.24%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2026.
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Industrial Production YoY - IE
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About Industrial Production YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2025): actual 12.7 %, consensus 8.8 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 10.5 %. Before that (Sep 2025): 10.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.97) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.