Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IrelandIreland Inflation Rate YoY held to 3.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Ireland Inflation Rate YoY held to 3.4% in July 2026, released August 2026. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.92%. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 3.5%, vs 3.18% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.4
Actual
3.3
Consensus
3.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.11 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 3.28
Actual: 3.4
Error: -0.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate YoY (Ireland) was reported at 3.4% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.3% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.01%, ranging from 2% to 3.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.47%, up from the prior three at 3.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.48%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.48%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Rate YoY has averaged 2.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.11%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
Inflation Rate YoY - IE
Loading chart data...
About Inflation Rate YoY — Ireland
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services over a 12-month period. It is a key measure of inflation and is used by economists and policymakers to monitor the health of an economy and make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A higher inflation rate can indicate a growing economy, but if it rises too quickly, it can lead to negative effects such as decreased purchasing power and higher interest rates. Conversely, a lower inflation rate can signal a slowing economy, but if it falls too low, it can lead to deflation and potential economic instability. The Inflation Rate YoY is an important tool for understanding and managing the impact of price changes on the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.4 %, consensus 3.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3.4 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.48) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - IE Events
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | IE | Construction PMI | 50.7 | 53 | 52.6 | 51.65 | Low |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IE | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 10:00 | IE | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |