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India GDP growth (annual %) climbed to 7.58 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 0.59 Percentage (%) from December's 6.99 Percentage (%) reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/INR | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish INR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
India GDP Growth Rate (India) was reported at 7.80 Percent in November 2025. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 7.80 Percent, up from the prior three at 7.23 Percent. In February readings over the past 3 years, India GDP Growth Rate has averaged 7.30 Percent.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/INR (Bullish INR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production YoY (May 28) and Manufacturing Production YoY (May 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
India’s GDP Growth Rate for January 2026 registered 7.8%, matching the highs seen in May and August 2025. This marks an increase from December 2025’s 7.4%, signaling sustained economic expansion above the 12-month average of 7.1%. Equities and the rupee strengthened on the print, reflecting positive market sentiment amid robust domestic demand. Updated 4/3/26
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 7.8 Percent. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 7.4 Percent. Before that (Nov 2025): 8.2 Percent.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/INR (Bullish INR, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium | ||
| 10:30 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | ||