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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia Real interest rate (%) climbed to 1.7 Percentage (%) in January 2022
World BankYearlyReleased January 2022
India Real interest rate (%) climbed to 1.7 Percentage (%) in January 2022, up 1.38 Percentage (%) from December's 0.32 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
1.70
Latest (2022)
0.32
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Interest Rate (%) (India) was reported at 2.52 Percent in December 2022. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.32 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.32 Percent, down from the prior three at 5.86 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production YoY (May 28) and Manufacturing Production YoY (May 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2022.
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Real interest rate (%) - IN
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About Real interest rate (%) — India
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IN Events
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | IN | Industrial Production YoY | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium | |
| 10:30 | IN | Manufacturing Production YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |