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Italy Industrial Production YoY climbed to 1.5 in March 2026, released May 2026, up 1.1 from February's 0.4 reading. The print exceeded the 0.7 consensus by 0.8. Industrial Production YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 1.03, vs 0.55 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 92nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 0.4. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.63. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU) and positively correlated with EUR/JPY (Bullish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.944 | 5.2 | 5.97 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Construction Output YoY | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Low | ||