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Japan Construction Orders YoY fell to -14.4 in March 2026, released April 2026, down 57.1 from February's 42.7 reading. The reading missed the 33.0 consensus by 47.4. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 17.94. Over the past 3 months, Construction Orders YoY averaged 22.87, vs -0.3 in the prior 3-month window. Construction Orders YoY is now the lowest in 7 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 42.7. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±23.05. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225) and positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.9 | 2.9 | 3 | 3.95 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.50 | Low | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Machine Tool Orders YoY | 45.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 36.60 | Low | |