What is the current Tankan Large All Industry Capex for Japan?

The latest Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex value is 3.3 for January 2026.

Tankan Large All Industry Capex: 3.3 (Mar 2026) — Japan | Sigmanomics

Last updated: 31 Mar 2026, 23:50 UTCData from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.

Japan

Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex fell to 3.3 in January 2026

FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026

Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex fell to 3.3 in January 2026, released March 2026, down 9.3 from December's 12.6 reading. The reading missed the 13 consensus by 9.7. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 10.67. Tankan Large All Industry Capex is now the lowest in 6 months.

Latest Release

3.3

Actual

Consensus

12.6

Median Absolute Error

±4.25 percentage points

across last 12 releases

Last Call

Mar 2026

Predicted: 13

Actual: 3.3

Error: +9.7

Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).

CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator

Symbol	Direction	Correlation	Asset Class	Signal Bias	Action
USD/JPY	▼ Inverse	−0.50	FOREX	Bullish JPY	→ View
EUR/JPY	▼ Inverse	−0.45	FOREX	Bullish JPY	→ View
Nikkei 225	▲ Direct	+0.45	INDEX	Bullish JP	→ View
GBP/JPY	▼ Inverse	−0.40	FOREX	Bullish JPY	→ View
XAU/USD	▲ Direct	+0.30	COMMODITIES	Watch	→ View

Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.

The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 12.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±4.25. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY) and negatively correlated with EUR/JPY (Bullish JPY).

Tankan Large All Industry Capex - JP

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Friday, May 15, 2026			Actual	Previous	Consensus	Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast	Impact
06:00	JP	Machine Tool Orders YoY	45.1	28.1	28.1	36.60	Low
Monday, May 18, 2026			Actual	Previous	Consensus	Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast	Impact
23:50	JP	GDP Growth Rate QoQ		0.3	0.4	0.40	High
23:50	JP	GDP Growth Annualized		1.3	1.7	1.70	Medium
23:50	JP	GDP Private Consumption QoQ		0.3	0.2	0.15	Low
23:50	JP	GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ		1.3	0.2	-78006.20	Low
23:50	JP	GDP Price Index YoY		3.4	3	2.95	Low
23:50	JP	GDP External Demand QoQ		0	0.2	0.15	Low
23:50	JP	Gross Domestic Product QoQ		0.3	0.4	0.35	High
23:50	JP	Gross Domestic Product YoY		1.3	1.7	1.00	Medium
Tuesday, May 19, 2026			Actual	Previous	Consensus	Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast	Impact
04:30	JP	Tertiary Industry Index MoM		-0.4	-0.4	-0.40	Low
04:30	JP	Capacity Utilization		-0.1	0.3	-0.55	Low
Wednesday, May 20, 2026			Actual	Previous	Consensus	Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast	Impact
00:00	JP	Reuters Tankan Index		7	8	10.00	Low