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Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex fell to 3.3 in January 2026, released March 2026, down 9.3 from December's 12.6 reading. The reading missed the 13 consensus by 9.7. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 10.67. Tankan Large All Industry Capex is now the lowest in 6 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish JP | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 12.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±4.25. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY) and negatively correlated with EUR/JPY (Bullish JPY).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Machine Tool Orders YoY | 45.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 36.60 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Growth Annualized | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.70 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Private Consumption QoQ | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ | 1.3 | 0.2 | -78006.20 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Price Index YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.95 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | GDP External Demand QoQ | 0 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.35 | High | ||
| 23:50 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.40 | Low | ||
| 04:30 | Capacity Utilization | -0.1 | 0.3 | -0.55 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 7 | 8 | 10.00 | Low | ||