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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Sri LankaSri Lanka Balance of Trade fell to -776 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Sri Lanka Balance of Trade fell to -776 in February 2026, released March 2026, down 121.4 from January's -654.6 reading. The print exceeded the -870 consensus by 94. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -698.98. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged -825.9, vs -913.98 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 19th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-776
Actual
-870
Consensus
-654.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±172.41 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: -758.9
Actual: -776
Error: +17.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of -654.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±172.41. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR) and negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500).
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Balance of Trade - LK
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Economic Calendar - LK Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:05 | LK | S&P Global Services PMI | 46.7 | 59.4 | 58 | 52.35 | Low |
| 16:05 | LK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 42.6 | 66.7 | 60 | 51.30 | Low |