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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LuxembourgLuxembourg Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -2.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Luxembourg Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -2.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 1.1% from June's -3.2% reading. The print exceeded the -3.0% consensus by 0.9%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -3.5%, vs -5.43% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
-2.1
Actual
-3
Consensus
-3.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.91 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -3.18
Actual: -2.1
Error: -1.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Luxembourg) was reported at -2.1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of -3% by 0.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of -3.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -3.02%, ranging from -5.4% to -0.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -3.03%, up from the prior three at -4.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.33%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.94%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.91%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LU
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Luxembourg
DEFINITION
Luxembourg's Producer Price Index YoY for August came in at -2.1%, beating the estimate of -3.0% and improving from July's -2.5%. The index shows a narrowing decline compared to the previous month, indicating a slower pace of price decreases year-over-year. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data for further signals on monetary policy direction. Updated 8/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -2.1 %, consensus -3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -2.5 %. Before that (May 2026): -4.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.58) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - LU Events
| Friday, September 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | LU | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | |
| 09:00 | LU | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| Monday, September 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | LU | Current Account | 1345 | 550 | 732.50 | Low | |
| 10:00 | LU | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.25 | Low | |