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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 2.5% in July 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased November 2025
Latvia Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 2.5% in July 2025, released November 2025. The print exceeded the 1.7% consensus by 0.8%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
2.5
Actual
1.7
Consensus
2.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.8 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Nov 2025
Predicted: 1.7
Actual: 2.5
Error: -0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Latvia) was reported at 3% in August 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.8%, up from the prior three at 1.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - LV
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Gross Domestic Product YoY held steady at 3.000000% in August 2026, unchanged from May's 3.000000%. The economy maintained its growth momentum after a rise from 2.5% in February 2026, signaling continued expansion. Market focus now shifts to upcoming data releases for further clarity on growth sustainability. Updated 8/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 2.5 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 2.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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