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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Retail Sales YoY fell to 3.9% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Latvia Retail Sales YoY fell to 3.9% in March 2026, released April 2026, down 0.1% from February's 4.0% reading. The reading matched the 4.1% consensus. Retail Sales YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 3.73%, vs 4.05% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 81st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.9
Actual
4.1
Consensus
4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.93 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 4.15
Actual: 4.3
Error: -0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 4. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.93. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Retail Sales YoY - LV
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