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Moldova Balance of Trade fell to -749.8M in April 2026, released June 2026, down 16.7M from March's -733.1M reading. The reading matched the -750M consensus. Balance of Trade has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged -683.7M, vs -614.77M in the prior 3-month window. Balance of Trade is now the lowest in 32 months.
across last 12 releases
Jun 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
Balance of Trade (Moldova) was reported at -749.80 million in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -750.00 million by 0.20 million. The reading fell from the previous value of -733.10 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -618.66 million, ranging from -749.80 million to -512.90 million across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -665.23 million, down from the prior three at -639.23 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 79.87 million) is comparable than the prior year (σ 76.49 million). In June readings over the past 3 years, Balance of Trade has averaged -609.00 million.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 42.71 million.
The next release is scheduled for July 15, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The Balance of Trade is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is running a trade surplus or deficit. A positive balance of trade indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative balance of trade suggests the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -749.8 M, consensus -750 M. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -733 M. Before that (Feb 2026): -634.4 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 11:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 12.3 | 9 | 9.90 | Low | ||