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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MaltaMalta Producer Price Index YoY held to 1.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Malta Producer Price Index YoY held to 1.5% in July 2026, released August 2026. The reading missed the 1.9% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.62%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.45%, vs 0.93% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
1.5
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.95
Actual: 1.5
Error: +0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Malta) was reported at 1.5% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.4%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.68%, ranging from -0.1% to 1.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.47%, up from the prior three at 0.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.6%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.51%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.48%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MT
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Malta
DEFINITION
Malta's Producer Price Index YoY for August came in at 1.500000%, matching July's 1.5% and missing the 1.9% estimate. The index held steady after rising from June's 1.4%, indicating stable producer price inflation. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid steady price pressures. Updated 8/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.5 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (May 2026): 1.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.49) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MT Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | MT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | |