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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MaltaMalta Producer Price Index YoY held to 0.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Malta Producer Price Index YoY held to 0.9% in April 2026, released May 2026. The reading missed the 1.5% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.22%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 0.95%, vs 0.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
1.5
Consensus
0.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.41 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.85
Actual: 0.9
Error: +0.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Malta) was reported at 0.9% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.5% by 0.6%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.29%, ranging from -0.4% to 1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.67%, up from the prior three at 0.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.41%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MT
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Malta
DEFINITION
Malta's Producer Price Index YoY held steady at 0.900000% in April, matching the previous month's reading and missing the 1.500000% estimate. April's 0.9% maintained the same level as March's 0.9%, indicating stable producer price inflation. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid persistent subdued price pressures. Updated 5/27/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.9 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.