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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MaltaMalta Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.3% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Malta Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.3% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.8% from July's 1.5% reading. The print exceeded the 1.7% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.7%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.5%, vs 1.07% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 19 months.
Latest Release
2.3
Actual
1.7
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.6 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.6
Actual: 2.3
Error: -0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Malta) was reported at 2.3% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.7% by 0.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.9%, ranging from -0.1% to 2.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.77%, up from the prior three at 1.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.49%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.6%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MT
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Malta
DEFINITION
Malta's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.300000% in September, beating the 1.700000% estimate and up from August's 1.500000%. This marks a clear acceleration in producer price inflation compared to the prior month. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid this upward trend. Updated 9/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.3 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.44) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MT Events
| Friday, October 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | MT | Industrial Production YoY | 5.1 | 4 | 2.6 | 3.85 | Low |
| Monday, October 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | MT | Balance of Trade | -525 | -470 | -470.00 | Low | |