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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MaltaMalta Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.6% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Malta Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.6% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.7% from August's 2.3% reading. The reading missed the 2.5% consensus by 0.9%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.9%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.9%, vs 1.27% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.6
Actual
2.5
Consensus
2.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.6 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 2.55
Actual: 1.6
Error: +0.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Malta) was reported at 1.6% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2.5% by 0.9%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.04%, ranging from -0.1% to 2.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.8%, up from the prior three at 1.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.68%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.48%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.6%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - MT
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Malta
DEFINITION
Malta's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 1.600000% for October, missing the 2.500000% estimate. This marks a decline from September's 2.300000%, indicating a slowdown in producer price inflation. The softer reading may influence market expectations and central bank considerations ahead of upcoming economic data. Updated 10/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.6 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 1.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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