Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Economic Activity MoM climbed to 0.4% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Mexico Economic Activity MoM climbed to 0.4% in March 2026, released May 2026, up 0.3% from February's 0.1% reading. The print exceeded the 0.0% consensus by 0.4%. Economic Activity MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 67th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.4
Actual
0
Consensus
0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.42 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -0.08
Actual: 0.4
Error: -0.48
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Economic Activity MoM (Mexico) was reported at 0.4% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.07%, ranging from -0.9% to 1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.62%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.59%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Economic Activity MoM has averaged 0.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.42%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 25) and Balance of Trade (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Economic Activity MoM - MX
Loading chart data...
About Economic Activity MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Economic Activity MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in economic activity from one month to the next. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and direction of the economy, allowing businesses and investors to make informed decisions. By tracking the month-over-month changes in economic activity, this indicator helps to identify trends and potential shifts in the economy, making it a crucial tool for monitoring and forecasting economic performance.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 0.4 %, consensus 0 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 0.1 %. Before that (Jan 2026): -0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.