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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 258.48B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Mexico Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 258.48B in August 2026, released September 2026, up 2.99B from July's 255.49B reading. The reading matched the 255.4B consensus. Foreign Exchange Reserves has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 255.27B, vs 256.9B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the highest in 35 months.
Latest Release
258.48
Actual
255.4
Consensus
255.49
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.09 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 255.71
Actual: 258.48
Error: -2.77
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Mexico) was reported at 258.48 billion in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 255.40 billion by 3.08 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 255.49 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 253.72 billion, ranging from 247.30 billion to 258.48 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 256.34 billion, down from the prior three at 256.67 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.70 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 5.40 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 243.29 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.09 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24) and Balance of Trade (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - MX
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Mexico
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 258.5 B, consensus 255.4 B. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 255.5 B. Before that (Jun 2026): 255.1 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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