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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 255.95B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Mexico Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 255.95B in September 2026, released October 2026, down 2.53B from August's 258.48B reading. The reading matched the 253.7B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 8.65B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 256.99B, vs 255.98B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 82nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
255.95
Actual
253.7
Consensus
258.48
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.57 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 254.52
Actual: 255.95
Error: -1.43
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Mexico) was reported at 255.95 billion in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 253.70 billion by 2.25 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 258.48 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 254.59 billion, ranging from 248.80 billion to 258.48 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 256.64 billion, up from the prior three at 256.48 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.06 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 5.60 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 244.75 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.57 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Nov 3) and Consumer Confidence (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - MX
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Mexico
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 256 B, consensus 253.7 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 258.5 B. Before that (Jul 2026): 255.5 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.85 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.80 | Medium |