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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 255.05B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Mexico Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 255.05B in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.55B from May's 256.6B reading. The reading matched the 254B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 13.35B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 256.45B, vs 255.1B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 82nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
255.05
Actual
254
Consensus
256.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.36 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 254.8
Actual: 255.05
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Mexico) was reported at 255.05 billion in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 254.00 billion by 1.05 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 256.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 250.97 billion, ranging from 242.00 billion to 257.80 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 256.48 billion, up from the prior three at 252.57 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.10 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.07 billion). In July readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 239.92 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.36 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Aug 3) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - MX
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Mexico
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 255.1 B, consensus 254 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 256.6 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 256.3 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |