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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Mexico Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.5% in July 2026, released September 2026, up 0.3% from June's 0.2% reading. The print exceeded the 0.0% consensus by 0.5%. Industrial Production MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged -0.3%, vs 0.63% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 73rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.55 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -0.08
Actual: 0.5
Error: -0.57
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Mexico) was reported at 0.5% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.1%, ranging from -1.1% to 2.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.85%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.03%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.55%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24) and Balance of Trade (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - MX
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About Industrial Production MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0.5 %, consensus 0 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.2 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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