Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Industrial Production MoM climbed to 2.1% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Mexico Industrial Production MoM climbed to 2.1% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 2.6% from March's -0.5% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 1.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.09%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged -0.1%, vs -0.1% in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Production MoM is now the highest in 13 months.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.52 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.03
Actual: 2.1
Error: -2.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/MXN | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Mexico) was reported at 2.1% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 1.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.05%, ranging from -1.2% to 2.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.13%, down from the prior three at 0.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.9%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged 0.57%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.53%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 10, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 25) and Balance of Trade (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
Industrial Production MoM - MX
Loading chart data...
About Industrial Production MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -0.6 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.