Loading page content
Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Lending interest rate (%) climbed to 11.59% in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Mexico Lending interest rate (%) climbed to 11.59% in January 2023, up 3.41% from December's 8.18% reading.
Latest Release
11.59
Latest (2023)
8.18
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Lending Interest Rate (%) (Mexico) was reported at 8.79 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 11.22 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. In December readings over the past 3 years, Lending Interest Rate (%) has averaged 10.53 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Jul 30) and Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Jul 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
SHARE
Lending interest rate (%) - MX
Loading chart data...
About Lending interest rate (%) — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's Lending Interest Rate fell to 8.785833% in December 2025, down sharply from November 2024's 11.223333%. This decline signals a significant easing in borrowing costs over the year. Market participants will watch for central bank moves as the lower rate may influence credit growth and inflation dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Monday, July 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Balance of Trade | 4.09 | 2.259 | 2.28 | 4.04 | Medium |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | |