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Malaysia M3 Money Supply YoY fell to 3.9% in November 2025, released December 2025, down 0.6% from October's 4.5% reading. The reading missed the 4.5% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.47%. Over the past 3 months, M3 Money Supply YoY averaged 4.45%, vs 3.7% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 37th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 3 releases
Dec 2025
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.79 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/MYR | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
M3 Money Supply YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 5.00 in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.50. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.95, ranging from 2.70 to 5.00 across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.23, up from the prior three at 4.17. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.62) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.06). In May readings over the past 3 years, M3 Money Supply YoY has averaged 4.77.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/MYR, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 19) and Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
M3 Money Supply YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the total amount of money in circulation within an economy. It includes all forms of money, such as cash, deposits, and other liquid assets. This indicator is used by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health and stability of a country's monetary system and to make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A positive YoY change in M3 Money Supply indicates an increase in liquidity and potential for economic growth, while a negative change may signal potential inflationary pressures.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 5.5 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 4.3 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.79) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, June 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.00 | Medium | ||
| 04:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 04:00 | Imports YoY | 20 | 15.5 | 16.90 | Low | ||
| 04:00 | Exports YoY | 36.9 | 32.4 | 31.85 | Low | ||
| 04:00 | Balance of Trade | 28.8 | 23.2 | 21.15 | Low | ||