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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NigeriaNigeria Real interest rate (%) climbed to 1.23 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Nigeria Real interest rate (%) climbed to 1.23 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 0.31 Percentage (%) from December's 0.92 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
1.23
Latest (2023)
0.92
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Interest Rate (%) (Nigeria) was reported at 2.87 Percent in December 2023. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.94 Percent, up from the prior three at -5.86 Percent.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2023.
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Real interest rate (%) - NG
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About Real interest rate (%) — Nigeria
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - NG Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:40 | NG | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 51.92 | 51.29 | 51.5 | 51.71 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:45 | NG | Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria PMI | 53.4 | 52.9 | 54.35 | Low | |