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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NorwayNorway Registered Jobless Rate held to 2.1% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Norway Registered Jobless Rate held to 2.1% in August 2026. The reading matched the 2.1% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.1%. The reading is in the 52nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
2.1
Consensus
2.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.1
Actual: 2.1
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Registered Jobless Rate (Norway) was reported at 2.1% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 2.1% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.11%, ranging from 1.9% to 2.3% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.03%, down from the prior three at 2.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.1%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.12%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Registered Jobless Rate has averaged 2.12%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, positively correlated (Bullish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Registered Jobless Rate - NO
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About Registered Jobless Rate — Norway
DEFINITION
The Registered Jobless Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of individuals who are actively seeking employment but are unable to find a job. This rate is based on data collected from government agencies and provides insight into the overall health of the labor market. A higher registered jobless rate may indicate a weaker economy, while a lower rate may suggest a stronger job market. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors as it can impact consumer spending, business growth, and financial markets.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 2.1 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (May 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.71) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - NO Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | NO | Balance of Trade | 100.4 | 88.8 | 95.1 | 97.75 | Low |