Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand ANZ Business Confidence climbed to 52.5 in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence climbed to 52.5 in October 2026, up 0.6 from September's 51.9 reading. The reading matched the 51.5 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 46.03. Over the past 3 months, ANZ Business Confidence averaged 52.8, vs 34.23 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 48th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
52.5
Actual
51.5
Consensus
51.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±12.36
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 50.2
Actual: 52.5
Error: -2.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
ANZ Business Confidence (New Zealand) was reported at 52.50 in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 51.50 by 1.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 51.90. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.28, ranging from 10.00 to 73.60 across 12 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 52.70, up from the prior three at 34.23. Volatility over the past year (σ 16.65) is higher than the prior year (σ 8.24). In October readings over the past 3 years, ANZ Business Confidence has averaged 49.93.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with NZD/JPY (Bullish NZD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 12.36.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change QoQ (Nov 3) and Unemployment Rate (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
ANZ Business Confidence - NZ
Loading chart data...
About ANZ Business Confidence — New Zealand
DEFINITION
ANZ Business Confidence is a key financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among businesses in Australia and New Zealand. It is based on a survey of business owners and managers, and provides valuable insights into the current and future economic conditions in these countries. A positive ANZ Business Confidence reading indicates a strong and growing economy, while a negative reading suggests a potential slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact business decisions and overall market sentiment.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 52.5, consensus 51.5. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 51.9. Before that (Aug 2026): 53.7.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with NZD/JPY (Bullish NZD, r=0.54) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - NZ Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | NZ | ANZ Business Confidence | 52.5 | 51.9 | 51.5 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 21:00 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | 96.2 | 97.6 | 97.4 | 96.80 | Low |