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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell to 96.2 in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
New Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell to 96.2 in October 2026, down 1.4 from September's 97.6 reading. The reading matched the 97.4 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 3.8. Over the past 3 months, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence averaged 97.73, vs 92.9 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 46th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
96.2
Actual
97.4
Consensus
97.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.68
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 97.13
Actual: 96.2
Error: +0.92
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (New Zealand) was reported at 96.20 in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 97.40 by 1.20. The reading fell from the previous value of 97.60. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 97.14, ranging from 86.50 to 107.20 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 97.27, up from the prior three at 92.37. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.28) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.74). In October readings over the past 3 years, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence has averaged 94.35.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.68.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change QoQ (Nov 3) and Unemployment Rate (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence - NZ
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About ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence — New Zealand
DEFINITION
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence is a leading financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers in Australia. It is based on a survey conducted by Roy Morgan Research, a respected market research company, and is used by economists and businesses to gauge the overall sentiment of consumers towards the economy. A higher consumer confidence level indicates a positive outlook for the economy, while a lower level suggests a more cautious or negative sentiment. This indicator is closely monitored as it can provide valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 96.2, consensus 97.4. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 97.6. Before that (Sep 2026): 97.6.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.75) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - NZ Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | NZ | ANZ Business Confidence | 52.5 | 51.9 | 51.5 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 21:00 | NZ | ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence | 96.2 | 97.6 | 97.4 | 96.80 | Low |