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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence climbed to 99.3 in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
New Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence climbed to 99.3 in July 2026, up 8 from June's 91.3 reading. The print exceeded the 90.5 consensus by 8.8. ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
99.3
Actual
90.5
Consensus
91.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.7
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 93
Actual: 99.3
Error: -6.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.83 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (New Zealand) was reported at 99.30 in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 90.50 by 8.80. The reading rose from the previous value of 91.30. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 96.33, ranging from 86.50 to 107.20 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 92.37, down from the prior three at 102.93. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.76) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.92). In July readings over the past 3 years, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence has averaged 93.97.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/NZD, negatively correlated (Bearish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.70.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change QoQ (Aug 4) and Unemployment Rate (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence - NZ
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About ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence — New Zealand
DEFINITION
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence is a leading financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers in Australia. It is based on a survey conducted by Roy Morgan Research, a respected market research company, and is used by economists and businesses to gauge the overall sentiment of consumers towards the economy. A higher consumer confidence level indicates a positive outlook for the economy, while a lower level suggests a more cautious or negative sentiment. This indicator is closely monitored as it can provide valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 99.3, consensus 90.5. Prior reading (May 2026): 86.5. Before that (Apr 2026): 80.3.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.83) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - NZ Events
| Sunday, August 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:45 | NZ | Building Permits MoM | -4 | -2.3 | -2.30 | Low | |