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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell to 98 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
New Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell to 98 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 1.3 from July's 99.3 reading. The reading matched the 98.7 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 6. The reading is in the 60th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
98
Actual
98.7
Consensus
99.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.28
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 103.1
Actual: 98
Error: +5.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.78 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (New Zealand) was reported at 98.00 in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 98.70 by 0.70. The reading fell from the previous value of 99.30. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 96.93, ranging from 86.50 to 107.20 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 94.60, down from the prior three at 99.53. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.58) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.94). In September readings over the past 3 years, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence has averaged 93.53.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.28.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Sep 14) and Current Account (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence - NZ
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About ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence — New Zealand
DEFINITION
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence is a leading financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers in Australia. It is based on a survey conducted by Roy Morgan Research, a respected market research company, and is used by economists and businesses to gauge the overall sentiment of consumers towards the economy. A higher consumer confidence level indicates a positive outlook for the economy, while a lower level suggests a more cautious or negative sentiment. This indicator is closely monitored as it can provide valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 98, consensus 98.7. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 99.3. Before that (May 2026): 86.5.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.78) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - NZ Events
| Sunday, September 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | NZ | Services NZ PSI | 51.2 | 50.6 | 50.5 | 50.85 | Low |
| 22:30 | NZ | Composite NZ PCI | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.3 | 52.40 | Low |
| 22:45 | NZ | Visitor Arrivals YoY | 8.5 | 8.1 | 4 | 6.25 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:35 | NZ | 3-Month Bill Auction | 2.878 | 2.809 | 2.81 | Low | |
| 21:00 | NZ | Westpac Consumer Confidence | 80.4 | 82.3 | 76.05 | Low | |
| 22:45 | NZ | Current Account | -1.01 | -2.65 | -2.64 | Medium | |
| 22:45 | NZ | Current Account | -1.01 | -7.5 | -7.49 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 22:45 | NZ | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 22:45 | NZ | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |