Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
New ZealandNew Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence climbed to 86.5 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
New Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence climbed to 86.5 in May 2026, up 6.2 from April's 80.3 reading. The print exceeded the 81.5 consensus by 5. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 95.35. Over the past 3 months, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence averaged 85.8, vs 102.93 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
86.5
Actual
81.5
Consensus
80.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.68
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 77.65
Actual: 86.5
Error: -8.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.83 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (New Zealand) was reported at 86.50 in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 81.50 by 5.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 80.30. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 96.14, ranging from 86.50 to 107.20 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 92.63, down from the prior three at 102.37. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.48) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.77). In May readings over the past 3 years, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence has averaged 88.10.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.68.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Current Account (Jun 16) and GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence - NZ
Loading chart data...
About ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence — New Zealand
DEFINITION
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence is a leading financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers in Australia. It is based on a survey conducted by Roy Morgan Research, a respected market research company, and is used by economists and businesses to gauge the overall sentiment of consumers towards the economy. A higher consumer confidence level indicates a positive outlook for the economy, while a lower level suggests a more cautious or negative sentiment. This indicator is closely monitored as it can provide valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 86.5, consensus 81.5. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 80.3. Before that (Mar 2026): 91.3.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.83) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.