Loading page content
Loading page content
New Zealand Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY climbed to 2.7 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 1.2 from February's 1.5 reading. The print exceeded the 1.8 consensus by 0.9. Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY averaged 0.95, vs 1.2 in the prior 3-month window. Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY is now the highest in 30 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 1.5. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.85. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD) and negatively correlated with AUD/NZD (Bearish AUD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Sunday, May 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | Composite NZ PCI | 48.8 | 46.8 | 46.80 | Low | ||
| 22:30 | Services NZ PSI | 46 | 45 | 45.00 | Low | ||
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 22:45 | PPI Output QoQ | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 22:45 | Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 22:45 | Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY | 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 22:45 | Producer Price Index QoQ | -0.5 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Low | ||