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New Zealand GDP growth (annual %) fell to 0.63 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 2.14 Percentage (%) from December's 2.77 Percentage (%) reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Growth (Annual %) (New Zealand) was reported at 0.46 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.87 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 0.47 Percent, down from the prior three at 2.57 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 0.47 Percent.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD). A secondary relationship exists with NZD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish NZD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Current Account (Sep 15) and Current Account (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
New Zealand's GDP Growth (Annual %) rose to 0.462872% in 2025, reversing from a contraction of -0.868722% in 2024. This marks a clear economic rebound after a year of decline. Market focus will remain on upcoming quarterly data to assess the sustainability of this recovery. Updated 7/1/26
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:45 | Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY | 0.2 | 3.4 | 3 | 1.60 | Low | |
| 22:45 | Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM | -0.9 | 1.2 | -0.7 | -0.80 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:35 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 2.902 | 2.878 | 2.809 | 2.86 | Low | |
| 21:00 | Westpac Consumer Confidence | 80.4 | 82.3 | 76.05 | Low | ||
| 22:45 | Current Account | -1.01 | -2.57 | -2.56 | Medium | ||
| 22:45 | Current Account | -1.01 | -7.5 | -7.49 | Medium | ||