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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PhilippinesPhilippines GDP growth (annual %) fell to 5.55 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Philippines GDP growth (annual %) fell to 5.55 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 2.03 Percentage (%) from December's 7.58 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
5.55
Latest (2023)
7.58
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (Philippines) was reported at 4.40 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.71 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.21 Percent, up from the prior three at 1.26 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 5.21 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 5) and Unemployment Rate (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP growth (annual %) - PH
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About GDP growth (annual %) — Philippines
DEFINITION
The Philippines' GDP Growth (Annual %) for 2025 came in at 4.402402%, missing the previous year's 5.714745% recorded in 2024 and signaling a slowdown in economic expansion. This decline marks a notable deceleration from the prior period's growth pace. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data closely amid this cooling trend. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PH Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | PH | Balance of Trade | -4.939 | -6.103 | -4.4 | -4.67 | Low |
| 01:00 | PH | Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | PH | Business Confidence | 0 | -25.2 | -45 | -22.50 | Low |