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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SerbiaSerbia Retail Sales YoY climbed to 14.0 in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Serbia Retail Sales YoY climbed to 14.0 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 9.4 from February's 4.6 reading. The print exceeded the 6.0 consensus by 8.0. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.72. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 6.2, vs 7.5 in the prior 3-month window. Retail Sales YoY is now the highest in 30 months.
Latest Release
14
Actual
6
Consensus
4.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.79 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 6.18
Actual: 4.6
Error: +1.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 4.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.79. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
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Retail Sales YoY - RS
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