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Serbia Retail Sales YoY climbed to 14.0 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 9.4 from February's 4.6 reading. The print exceeded the 6.0 consensus by 8.0. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.72. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 6.2, vs 7.5 in the prior 3-month window. Retail Sales YoY is now the highest in 30 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 4.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.79. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
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