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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia M2 Money Supply YoY climbed to 12.3% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Russia M2 Money Supply YoY climbed to 12.3% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.5% from March's 11.8% reading. The reading matched the 12.0% consensus. M2 Money Supply YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, M2 Money Supply YoY averaged 11.6%, vs 11.58% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 17th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
12.3
Actual
12
Consensus
11.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.96 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 13.15
Actual: 12.3
Error: +0.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
M2 Money Supply YoY (Russia) was reported at 13% in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 13.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 12.39%, ranging from 9.7% to 14.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.07%, up from the prior three at 11.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.27%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.93%). In August readings over the past 3 years, M2 Money Supply YoY has averaged 15.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.96%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 30) and Gross Domestic Product YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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M2 Money Supply YoY - RU
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About M2 Money Supply YoY — Russia
DEFINITION
M2 Money Supply YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the amount of money in circulation in an economy. It includes all physical currency, checking and savings deposits, and other liquid assets. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it provides insight into the overall health and growth of an economy. A higher M2 Money Supply YoY can indicate increased economic activity and potential inflation, while a lower reading may suggest a slowing economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 13 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 13.2 %. Before that (May 2026): 13 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.47) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | RU | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 5.60 | Low |
| 16:00 | RU | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.9 | -2.5 | -0.9 | -0.82 | Low |