Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Vehicle Sales YoY climbed to 0.0% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Russia Vehicle Sales YoY climbed to 0.0% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 7.3% from August's -7.3% reading. The reading missed the 16.5% consensus by 16.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -1.52%. Over the past 3 months, Vehicle Sales YoY averaged -4.77%, vs 14.4% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0
Actual
16.5
Consensus
-7.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7.32 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.25
Actual: 0
Error: +7.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.82 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Vehicle Sales YoY (Russia) was reported at 0% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 16.5% by 16.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of -7.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.7%, ranging from -16% to 18% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -2.33%, down from the prior three at -0.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.24%) is lower than the prior year (σ 24.64%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Vehicle Sales YoY has averaged 4.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7.32%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and GDP Growth Rate YoY (Nov 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Vehicle Sales YoY - RU
Loading chart data...
About Vehicle Sales YoY — Russia
DEFINITION
Vehicle Sales YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the number of vehicles sold by a company or industry compared to the same period in the previous year. This metric is used to assess the growth or decline in vehicle sales and can provide valuable insights into the overall performance and trends of the automotive market. It is a key indicator for investors, analysts, and businesses in the automotive industry to make informed decisions and evaluate the health of the market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0 %, consensus 16.5 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 0 %. Before that (Sep 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.82) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 50 | 50.10 | Medium | |
| Thursday, November 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Composite PMI | 50.8 | 50.7 | 51.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 51.1 | 51.45 | Low | |