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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia M3 Money Supply YoY climbed to 9.4% in May 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2025
Saudi Arabia M3 Money Supply YoY climbed to 9.4% in May 2025, released June 2025, up 0.1% from April's 9.3% reading. The reading matched the 9.1% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.8%. Over the past 3 months, M3 Money Supply YoY averaged 9.02%, vs 8.87% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 76th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
9.4
Actual
9.1
Consensus
9.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.32 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2025
Predicted: 9.15
Actual: 9.4
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
M3 Money Supply YoY (Saudi Arabia) was reported at 10% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.28%, ranging from 6.6% to 10% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 8.97%, up from the prior three at 7.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.96%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.77%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.33%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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M3 Money Supply YoY - SA
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About M3 Money Supply YoY — Saudi Arabia
DEFINITION
M3 Money Supply YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the total amount of money in circulation within an economy. It includes all forms of money, such as cash, deposits, and other liquid assets. This indicator is used by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health and stability of a country's monetary system and to make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A positive YoY change in M3 Money Supply indicates an increase in liquidity and potential for economic growth, while a negative change may signal potential inflationary pressures.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 10 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 10 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 8.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.58) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.