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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 6.36 Percentage of GDP in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Sweden Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 6.36 Percentage of GDP in January 2023.
Latest Release
6.36
Latest (2023)
6.36
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) (Sweden) was reported at 6.06 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.86 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.38 Percent, up from the prior three at 5.28 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Current Account Balance (% of GDP) has averaged 6.38 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK). A secondary relationship exists with USD/SEK, negatively correlated (Bullish SEK).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Aug 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Current account balance (% of GDP) - SE
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About Current account balance (% of GDP) — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Current Account Balance (% of GDP) registered 6.055024 in December 2025, down from 6.857691 in December 2024, indicating a contraction in the surplus. The decline from last year’s level reflects a moderation in external balances after a peak in 2024. Market participants will monitor upcoming trade and capital flow data for further clarity on Sweden’s external sector dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:40 | SE | Industrial Inventories QoQ | 11.67 | -1.8 | 4.74 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Producer Price Index YoY | 7.4 | 6.9 | 7.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.80 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Balance of Trade | 2.6 | 3 | -2.85 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales YoY | 6.6 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium | |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Confidence | 97.1 | 96.7 | 97.90 | Low | |
| 07:00 | SE | Business Confidence | 106.3 | 105.5 | 106.15 | Low | |
| 07:00 | SE | Economic Tendency Indicator | 104.7 | 104 | 105.15 | Low | |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.7 | 5.5 | 4.95 | Low | |