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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden GDP growth (annual %) fell to -0.2 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Sweden GDP growth (annual %) fell to -0.2 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 2.86 Percentage (%) from December's 2.66 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
-0.20
Latest (2023)
2.66
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (Sweden) was reported at 1.54 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.02 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.79 Percent, down from the prior three at 1.52 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 0.79 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK). A secondary relationship exists with USD/SEK, negatively correlated (Bullish SEK).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Aug 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP growth (annual %) - SE
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About GDP growth (annual %) — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's GDP Growth (Annual %) for 2025 came in at 1.543164%, surpassing the previous year's 1.017796%. This marks a clear acceleration in economic expansion compared to 2024's growth rate. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of sustained momentum amid evolving monetary policy. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/SEK (Bullish SEK, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:40 | SE | Industrial Inventories QoQ | 11.67 | -1.8 | 4.74 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Producer Price Index YoY | 7.4 | 6.9 | 7.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.80 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Balance of Trade | 2.6 | 3 | -2.85 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales YoY | 6.6 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium | |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Confidence | 97.1 | 96.7 | 97.90 | Low | |
| 07:00 | SE | Business Confidence | 106.3 | 105.5 | 106.15 | Low | |
| 07:00 | SE | Economic Tendency Indicator | 104.7 | 104 | 105.15 | Low | |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.7 | 5.5 | 4.95 | Low | |