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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 3.3% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased August 2026
Sweden GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 3.3% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 1.3% from March's 2.0% reading. The print exceeded the 2.5% consensus by 0.8%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 46 months.
Latest Release
3.3
Actual
2.5
Consensus
2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.65 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.95
Actual: 3.3
Error: -0.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.77 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Sweden) was reported at 3.3% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.5% by 0.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.43%, ranging from 1.8% to 3.3% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.7%, up from the prior three at 2.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.48%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.66%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.65%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - SE
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.8 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DAX, r=0.77) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |