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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.6% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.6% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, up 1.8% from March's -0.2% reading. The print exceeded the 1.4% consensus by 0.2%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
1.6
Actual
1.4
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 10 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.75
Actual: 1.6
Error: +0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Sweden) was reported at 1.6% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.4% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.81%, ranging from -0.2% to 1.6% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.93%, up from the prior three at 0.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/SEK, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - SE
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Gross Domestic Product QoQ rose 1.600000% in August, beating the 1.400000% estimate. This marks a strong rebound from July's 1.400000% after two consecutive months of -0.200000%. The robust growth supports expectations of continued monetary policy stability amid improving economic momentum. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.6 %, consensus 1.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.4 %. Before that (Jan 2026): -0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.46) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |