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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.4% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Sweden Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.4% in Q2 2026, released July 2026, up 1.6% from March's -0.2% reading. The print exceeded the 0.7% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.37%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
1.4
Actual
0.7
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.4 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.7
Actual: 1.4
Error: -0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Sweden) was reported at 1.4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.7% by 0.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.66%, ranging from -0.2% to 1.4% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.57%, down from the prior three at 0.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.4%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Aug 6) and CPI MoM (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - SE
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Gross Domestic Product QoQ surged to 1.400000% in Q2 2026, beating the 0.700000% estimate and reversing the prior quarter's -0.200000% contraction. This marks a strong rebound from Q1 2026's decline, signaling robust economic expansion. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and Riksbank policy moves amid this growth momentum. Updated 7/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.4 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -0.2 %. Before that (Jan 2026): -0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.64) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales YoY | 6.6 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 5.85 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Economic Tendency Indicator | 104.7 | 102.1 | 101.1 | 102.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Confidence | 97.1 | 94.2 | 93 | 95.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Business Confidence | 106.3 | 104.1 | 103 | 104.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.55 | Low |