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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 3.3% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 3.3% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 1.3% from March's 2.0% reading. The print exceeded the 2.8% consensus by 0.5%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
3.3
Actual
2.8
Consensus
2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.5 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.8
Actual: 3.3
Error: -0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Sweden) was reported at 3.3% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.8% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.43%, ranging from 1.8% to 3.3% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.7%, up from the prior three at 2.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.5%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - SE
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 3.300000% in August, beating the 2.800000% estimate and accelerating from July's 2.800000%. This marks a clear expansion in economic growth compared to the previous month. Market focus will remain on how this momentum influences the Riksbank's monetary policy stance. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.3 %, consensus 2.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |