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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 2.0% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Sweden Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 2.0% in January 2026, released May 2026. The print exceeded the 1.6% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.72%.
Latest Release
2
Actual
1.6
Consensus
2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.5 percentage points
across last 8 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.6
Actual: 2
Error: -0.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Sweden) was reported at 2% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.4%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.89%, ranging from 0.9% to 2.6% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.97%, down from the prior three at 2.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.5%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - SE
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 2.000000% in April, beating the 1.600000% estimate. This marks an increase from March's 1.600000%, indicating a stronger economic expansion. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and Riksbank policy signals. Updated 5/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 2 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.6 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.60) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.