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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Consumption MoM climbed to 1.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Sweden Household Consumption MoM climbed to 1.1% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.5% from August's -0.4% reading. The print exceeded the -0.3% consensus by 1.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.04%. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption MoM averaged 1.15%, vs 0.32% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.1
Actual
-0.3
Consensus
-0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.65 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.4
Actual: 1.1
Error: -0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption MoM (Sweden) was reported at 1.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.3% by 1.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.06%, ranging from -3.7% to 1.6% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.13%, up from the prior three at 0.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.49%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.68%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption MoM has averaged 0.77%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.65%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Household Consumption MoM - SE
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About Household Consumption MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Consumption MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given month. It provides valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and overall economic activity. A positive change in this indicator indicates an increase in consumer confidence and a potential boost to economic growth, while a negative change may signal a decrease in consumer spending and potential economic slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors as it can impact financial markets and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.1 %, consensus -0.3 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 0.7 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.45) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | SE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 58.1 | 57.4 | 57.40 | Low | |