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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Consumption MoM held to -0.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Household Consumption MoM held to -0.1% in June 2026, released August 2026. The reading missed the 0.4% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -0.08%. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption MoM averaged -0.03%, vs 0.73% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 42nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.1
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.39 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.33
Actual: -0.1
Error: +0.43
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption MoM (Sweden) was reported at -0.1% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.4% by 0.5%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.18%, ranging from -3.7% to 0.8% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.2%, up from the prior three at -1.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.26%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.74%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption MoM has averaged -0.05%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.39%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Aug 6) and CPI MoM (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Household Consumption MoM - SE
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About Household Consumption MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Consumption MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given month. It provides valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and overall economic activity. A positive change in this indicator indicates an increase in consumer confidence and a potential boost to economic growth, while a negative change may signal a decrease in consumer spending and potential economic slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors as it can impact financial markets and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.1 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.1 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.57) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | SE | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 58.3 | 57 | 57.85 | Low | |