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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Consumption MoM fell to 0.8% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Sweden Household Consumption MoM fell to 0.8% in April 2026, released June 2026, down 0.6% from March's 1.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.6% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.2%. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption MoM averaged 0.23%, vs -1.5% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
0.6
Consensus
1.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.6
Actual: 0.8
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption MoM (Sweden) was reported at 0.8% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.6% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.31%, ranging from -3.7% to 0.8% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.73%, down from the prior three at -0.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.37%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.65%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption MoM has averaged 0.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/SEK (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.47%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 10, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Household Consumption MoM - SE
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About Household Consumption MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Consumption MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given month. It provides valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and overall economic activity. A positive change in this indicator indicates an increase in consumer confidence and a potential boost to economic growth, while a negative change may signal a decrease in consumer spending and potential economic slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors as it can impact financial markets and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.8 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -0.8 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.