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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Consumption MoM climbed to 1.6% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Household Consumption MoM climbed to 1.6% in June 2026, released August 2026, up 1.9% from May's -0.3% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 1.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.08%. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption MoM averaged -0.03%, vs 0.73% in the prior 3-month window. Household Consumption MoM is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
1.6
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.33
Actual: 1.6
Error: -1.28
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption MoM (Sweden) was reported at 1.6% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 1.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.11%, ranging from -3.7% to 1.6% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.77%, up from the prior three at -1.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.51%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.71%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption MoM has averaged 0.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.47%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Household Consumption MoM - SE
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About Household Consumption MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Consumption MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given month. It provides valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and overall economic activity. A positive change in this indicator indicates an increase in consumer confidence and a potential boost to economic growth, while a negative change may signal a decrease in consumer spending and potential economic slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors as it can impact financial markets and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.1 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.1 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.49) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.44 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.65 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |