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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Consumption YoY fell to 1.8% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Sweden Household Consumption YoY fell to 1.8% in April 2026, released June 2026, down 1.6% from March's 3.4% reading. The reading missed the 4.5% consensus by 2.7%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.24%. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption YoY averaged 2.95%, vs 1.65% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 54th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
4.5
Consensus
3.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 4.5
Actual: 1.8
Error: +2.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption YoY (Sweden) was reported at 1.8% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4.5% by 2.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.03, ranging from 0.50 to 3.30 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.70, down from the prior three at 2.70. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.89) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.36). In June readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption YoY has averaged 1.27.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/SEK (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.00.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 10, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Household Consumption YoY - SE
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About Household Consumption YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Consumption YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given period compared to the same period in the previous year. It is a key measure of consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. A positive YoY growth in household consumption indicates a healthy economy, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health of the economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.4 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 4.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/SEK (Bearish USD, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.