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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Consumption YoY climbed to 4.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Household Consumption YoY climbed to 4.3% in June 2026, released August 2026, up 2.3% from May's 2.0% reading. The print exceeded the 2.6% consensus by 1.7%. Household Consumption YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption YoY averaged 1.95%, vs 2.9% in the prior 3-month window. Household Consumption YoY is now the highest in 37 months.
Latest Release
4.3
Actual
2.6
Consensus
2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.98 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.8
Actual: 4.3
Error: -2.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption YoY (Sweden) was reported at 4.3% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.6% by 1.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.45%, ranging from 0.5% to 4.3% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.73%, up from the prior three at 1.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.04%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.14%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption YoY has averaged 1.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.98%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Household Consumption YoY - SE
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About Household Consumption YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Consumption YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given period compared to the same period in the previous year. It is a key measure of consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. A positive YoY growth in household consumption indicates a healthy economy, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health of the economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 2.6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DAX, r=0.60) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |