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Singapore Import Prices YoY fell to 13.6% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 4.9% from May's 18.5% reading. The reading missed the 21.0% consensus by 7.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.63%. Over the past 3 months, Import Prices YoY averaged 18.75%, vs 2.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 90th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Jul 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Import Prices YoY (Singapore) was reported at 13.6% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 21% by 7.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 18.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.6%, ranging from -6.1% to 19.1% across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 17.03%, up from the prior three at -2.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.04%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.42%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Import Prices YoY has averaged 2.3%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Hang Seng, negatively correlated (Bearish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.7%.
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
Import Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services imported into a country over a period of one year. This indicator is used to track the impact of international trade on a country's economy and can provide valuable insights into inflation and the strength of the domestic currency. It is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the competitiveness of a country's imports and its overall economic health.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 13.6 %, consensus 21 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 19.1 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 18.4 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | Bank Lending | 931.4 | 917.7 | 884.1 | 907.75 | Low | |
| 02:30 | Unemployment Rate | 2 | 2 | 2.1 | 2.05 | Low | |
| 05:00 | Business Confidence | 12 | 17 | 5 | 8.50 | Low | |