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Singapore Import Prices YoY climbed to 19.9% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 4.4% from August's 15.5% reading. The print exceeded the 16.0% consensus by 3.9%. Import Prices YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Import Prices YoY averaged 14.55%, vs 17.03% in the prior 3-month window. Import Prices YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
across last 12 releases
Oct 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/SGD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Import Prices YoY (Singapore) was reported at 19.9% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 16% by 3.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of 15.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.01%, ranging from -3.7% to 19.9% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 16.33%, down from the prior three at 17.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.71%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.32%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Import Prices YoY has averaged 3.8%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with USD/SGD, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.11%.
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
Import Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services imported into a country over a period of one year. This indicator is used to track the impact of international trade on a country's economy and can provide valuable insights into inflation and the strength of the domestic currency. It is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the competitiveness of a country's imports and its overall economic health.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 19.9 %, consensus 16 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 15.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 13.5 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | Bank Lending | 978.8 | 966.4 | 909.5 | 944.15 | Low | |
| 02:30 | Unemployment Rate | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Business Confidence | 12 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.7 | 51.8 | 51.80 | Low | ||