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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 1.44 Percentage of GDP in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Thailand Current account balance (% of GDP) held to 1.44 Percentage of GDP in January 2023.
Latest Release
1.44
Latest (2023)
1.44
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) (Thailand) was reported at 2.76 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.19 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.20 Percent, up from the prior three at -0.48 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Current Account Balance (% of GDP) has averaged 2.20 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Current account balance (% of GDP) - TH
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About Current account balance (% of GDP) — Thailand
DEFINITION
Thailand's Current Account Balance (% of GDP) rose to 2.762900 in 2025, up from 2.194828 in 2024, marking a continued surplus expansion. The increase from 2024 to 2025 reflects strengthening external balances after previous years of deficits. Market focus remains on how sustained surpluses will influence the Bank of Thailand's monetary policy amid global economic shifts. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -3.5 | -6.4 | 1.6 | -0.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.90 | Low |
| 07:30 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | -14.5 | -20 | -13 | -13.75 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.6 | 52.5 | 52.85 | Low | |