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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Imports YoY climbed to 50.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Thailand Imports YoY climbed to 50.3% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 15.2% from May's 35.1% reading. The print exceeded the 35.8% consensus by 14.5%. Imports YoY has now risen for 8 consecutive months. Imports YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
50.3
Actual
35.8
Consensus
35.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.56 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 44.7
Actual: 50.3
Error: -5.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Thailand) was reported at 50.3% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 35.8% by 14.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 35.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 21.33%, ranging from 5.1% to 50.3% across 17 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 42.37%, up from the prior three at 25.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 11.94%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.65%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 19.38%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.56%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Imports YoY - TH
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About Imports YoY — Thailand
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 50.3 %, consensus 35.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 45 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 35.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -3.5 | -6.4 | 1.6 | -0.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.25 | Low |
| 07:30 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | -14.5 | -20 | -13 | -13.75 | Low |