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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Imports YoY fell to 36.7% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Thailand Imports YoY fell to 36.7% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 13.6% from June's 50.3% reading. The reading missed the 42.2% consensus by 5.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 27.22%. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
36.7
Actual
42.2
Consensus
50.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 49.45
Actual: 36.7
Error: +12.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Thailand) was reported at 36.7% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 42.2% by 5.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 50.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 25.02%, ranging from 14.7% to 50.3% across 15 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 44%, up from the prior three at 30.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 11.17%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.89%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 15%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Imports YoY - TH
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About Imports YoY — Thailand
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 36.7 %, consensus 42.2 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 50.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 45 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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