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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Imports YoY climbed to 45.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Thailand Imports YoY climbed to 45.0% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 9.3% from March's 35.7% reading. The print exceeded the 27.2% consensus by 17.8%. Imports YoY has now risen for 7 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 32.53%, vs 19.88% in the prior 3-month window. Imports YoY is now the highest in 19 months.
Latest Release
45
Actual
27.2
Consensus
35.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.49 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 30.85
Actual: 45
Error: -14.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Thailand) was reported at 45% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 27.2% by 17.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 35.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 19.08%, ranging from 5.1% to 45% across 19 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 35.63%, up from the prior three at 21.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.09%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.56%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 21.68%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.49%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Imports YoY - TH
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About Imports YoY — Thailand
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 45 %, consensus 27.2 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 35.7 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 31.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.