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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Private Consumption MoM climbed to 1.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Thailand Private Consumption MoM climbed to 1.1% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.5% from May's 0.6% reading. The print exceeded the 0.7% consensus by 0.4%. Private Consumption MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Private Consumption MoM averaged -0.75%, vs -0.53% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.1
Actual
0.7
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.02 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.85
Actual: 0.6
Error: +1.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/THB | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Private Consumption MoM (Thailand) was reported at 1.1% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.7% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.02%, ranging from -2.1% to 2.5% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -1.1%, down from the prior three at 1.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.33%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.72%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Private Consumption MoM has averaged 0.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/THB, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.03%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Private Consumption MoM - TH
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About Private Consumption MoM — Thailand
DEFINITION
Private Consumption MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of money spent by individuals and households on goods and services within a specific country. This indicator provides valuable insights into the overall health of the economy, as consumer spending is a major driver of economic growth. A positive change in Private Consumption MoM indicates an increase in consumer confidence and a potential boost to economic activity, while a negative change may suggest a decrease in consumer spending and potential economic slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can provide important signals about the direction of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.1 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.6 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -3.5 | -6.4 | 1.6 | -0.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.90 | Low |
| 07:30 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | -14.5 | -20 | -13 | -13.75 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.6 | 52.5 | 52.85 | Low | |