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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Private Investment MoM fell to -5.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Thailand Private Investment MoM fell to -5.0% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 1.5% from March's -3.5% reading. The reading missed the 1.0% consensus by 6.0%. Private Investment MoM has now declined for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Private Investment MoM averaged -0.8%, vs 3.2% in the prior 3-month window. Private Investment MoM is now the lowest in 35 months.
Latest Release
-5
Actual
1
Consensus
-3.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.26 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.05
Actual: -5
Error: +6.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Private Investment MoM (Thailand) was reported at -5% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1% by 6%. The reading fell from the previous value of -3.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.04%, ranging from -5% to 3.6% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.13%, down from the prior three at 1.93%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.73%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 2.77%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Private Investment MoM has averaged 0.97%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.26%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Private Investment MoM - TH
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About Private Investment MoM — Thailand
DEFINITION
Private Investment MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in private sector investment from one month to the next. It provides valuable insights into the level of confidence and activity in the private sector, which is a crucial driver of economic growth. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the overall economy. A positive Private Investment MoM indicates an increase in private sector investment, while a negative reading suggests a decrease.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -5 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -3.5 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.