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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Private Investment MoM fell to 0.5% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Thailand Private Investment MoM fell to 0.5% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.7% from May's 1.2% reading. The reading missed the 2.0% consensus by 1.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.11%. Over the past 3 months, Private Investment MoM averaged -1.9%, vs 0.37% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 60th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
2
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.6 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.3
Actual: 1.2
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Private Investment MoM (Thailand) was reported at 0.5% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2% by 1.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.15%, ranging from -5% to 3.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.63%, down from the prior three at 3.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.87%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.6%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Private Investment MoM has averaged -0.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.6%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Private Investment MoM - TH
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About Private Investment MoM — Thailand
DEFINITION
Private Investment MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in private sector investment from one month to the next. It provides valuable insights into the level of confidence and activity in the private sector, which is a crucial driver of economic growth. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the overall economy. A positive Private Investment MoM indicates an increase in private sector investment, while a negative reading suggests a decrease.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.5 %, consensus 2 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -3.5 | -6.4 | 1.6 | -0.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.90 | Low |
| 07:30 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | -14.5 | -20 | -13 | -13.75 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.6 | 52.5 | 52.85 | Low | |