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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Private Investment MoM climbed to 21.6% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Thailand Private Investment MoM climbed to 21.6% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 19.4% from August's 2.2% reading. The print exceeded the -0.2% consensus by 21.8%. Private Investment MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Private Investment MoM averaged 0.95%, vs -1.1% in the prior 3-month window. Private Investment MoM is now the highest in 35 months.
Latest Release
21.6
Actual
-0.2
Consensus
2.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.74 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.03
Actual: 2.2
Error: -2.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Private Investment MoM (Thailand) was reported at 21.6% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.2% by 21.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.41%, ranging from -5% to 3.6% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.8%, up from the prior three at -0.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.8%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.76%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Private Investment MoM has averaged -0.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.74%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Private Investment MoM - TH
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About Private Investment MoM — Thailand
DEFINITION
Private Investment MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in private sector investment from one month to the next. It provides valuable insights into the level of confidence and activity in the private sector, which is a crucial driver of economic growth. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the overall economy. A positive Private Investment MoM indicates an increase in private sector investment, while a negative reading suggests a decrease.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 21.6 %, consensus -0.2 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.2 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | TH | Industrial Production YoY | 2.05 | 4.44 | 2.8 | 2.42 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 21.6 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 10.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -1.6 | 2.4 | 0.97 | -0.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | -2.2 | 0.4 | -0.6 | -1.40 | Low |
| 10:20 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | 15.2 | -5.9 | -9 | 3.10 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.3 | 54.5 | 55.35 | Low | |